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Home » Predictions » Others » Saint Patrick FC Zabbar x Hamrun Spartans Betting tips for February 5 in Malta FA Trophy
Wednesday, 05 February 2025, 19h30 Malta FA Trophy
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
PREDICTION Hamrun Spartans Wins Probability 89% 1 X 2
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans
ODD: @1.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Saint Patrick FC Zabbar x Hamrun Spartans Betting tips for February 5 in Malta FA Trophy

Our betting tip for Saint Patrick FC Zabbar x Hamrun Spartans, Wednesday, 5/2/2025
📅 5/2/2025
19:30
Saint Patrick FC Zabbar Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
5.90
X
4.50
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans
1.40

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Saint Patrick FC Zabbar x Hamrun Spartans:

🔮 Hamrun Spartans wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Hamrun Spartans, you can win up to $700.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Saint Patrick FC Zabbar x Hamrun Spartans:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Saint Patrick FC Zabbar in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $460.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hamrun Spartans in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $370.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Saint Patrick FC Zabbar scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 road matches, Hamrun Spartans has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Saint Patrick FC Zabbar x Hamrun Spartans for the Malta FA Trophy – 5 of February

🏟️ Saint Patrick FC Zabbar X Hamrun Spartans – Malta FA Trophy
📅 5 of February, 2025 – 19:30
🔵 Saint Patrick FC Zabbar – Winning probability: 3.95% | Fair line: 25.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.30% | Fair line: 15.88
🔴 Hamrun Spartans – Winning probability: 89.75% | Fair line: 1.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.0 Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Saint Patrick FC Zabbar x Hamrun Spartans right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1257659 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Saint Patrick FC Zabbar x Hamrun Spartans

Is betting on Saint Patrick FC Zabbar worth it?

🔵 Saint Patrick FC Zabbar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $196.00;
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$764.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $210.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$730.00.

Is it worth betting on Hamrun Spartans?

🔴 Hamrun Spartans: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 89.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – this would give you a profit of $360.00
  • And would have lost other 100 times – with a loss of -$100.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$260.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Saint Patrick FC Zabbar x Hamrun Spartans

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.0 Saint Patrick FC Zabbar
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Saint Patrick FC Zabbar x Hamrun Spartans

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +2.0 Saint Patrick FC Zabbar, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Saint Patrick FC Zabbar.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Hamrun Spartans.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Saint Patrick FC Zabbar x Hamrun Spartans

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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