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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Salernitana x Catanzaro Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie B
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Italy Serie B
Salernitana Salernitana
PREDICTION Salernitana wins Probability 52% 1 X 2
Catanzaro Catanzaro
ODD: @2.14 Don't miss this prediction!

Salernitana x Catanzaro Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Salernitana x Catanzaro, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
10:00
Salernitana Salernitana
2.14
X
3.40
Catanzaro Catanzaro
3.21

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Salernitana x Catanzaro:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Salernitana wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Salernitana, you can win up to $1070.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Salernitana x Catanzaro:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Salernitana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $5.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Catanzaro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-396.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Salernitana scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Salernitana matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Salernitana conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Salernitana x Catanzaro?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Salernitana x Catanzaro, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Salernitana x Catanzaro for the Italy Serie B – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Salernitana X Catanzaro – Italy Serie B
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
๐Ÿ”ต Salernitana – Winning probability: 52.62% | Fair line: 1.9
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.47% | Fair line: 4.45
๐Ÿ”ด Catanzaro – Winning probability: 24.90% | Fair line: 4.02
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Salernitana
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Salernitana x Catanzaro right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Salernitana x Catanzaro

Is betting on Salernitana worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Salernitana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – profiting $604.20;
  • And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$134.20.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $528.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$252.00.

Should you bet on Catanzaro?

๐Ÿ”ด Catanzaro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.21. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $552.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$197.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Salernitana x Catanzaro

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Salernitana
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Salernitana x Catanzaro

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Salernitana and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Salernitana.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Salernitana x Catanzaro

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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