Salernitana x Sassuolo Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie B

Our betting tip for Salernitana x Sassuolo, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 11:30

Salernitana 3.90

X 3.51

Sassuolo 1.85

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Salernitana x Sassuolo:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Salernitana x Sassuolo

Important information for your tip for Salernitana x Sassuolo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Salernitana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-280.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sassuolo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $52.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Sassuolo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Sassuolo, Salernitana scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Sassuolo matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Salernitana x Sassuolo, with Salernitana as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sassuolo conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Salernitana has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Sassuolo playing at home.

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Analysis from Salernitana x Sassuolo for the Italy Serie B – 12 of January

When the best bet on Salernitana x Sassuolo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Salernitana x Sassuolo

Is it worth betting on Salernitana?

🔵 Salernitana: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $580.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.51. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $652.60
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$87.40.

Should you bet on Sassuolo?

🔴 Sassuolo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $459.00;
• And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$1.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Salernitana x Sassuolo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Salernitana
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Salernitana x Sassuolo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Salernitana and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Salernitana.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Sassuolo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Salernitana x Sassuolo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.