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Salgueiros x CD Gouveia Betting tips for January 16 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Salgueiros x CD Gouveia, Sunday, 16/1/2022
๐Ÿ“… 16/1/2022
15:00
Salgueiros
1.11
X
7.00
CD Gouveia
22.17

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Salgueiros x CD Gouveia:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Salgueiros wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Salgueiros, you can win up to $554.75!

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๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Salgueiros x CD Gouveia

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Analysis from Salgueiros x CD Gouveia for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 16 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Salgueiros X CD Gouveia – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
๐Ÿ“… 16 of January, 2022 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Salgueiros – Winning probability: 99.63% | Fair line: 1.0
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.33% | Fair line: 299.01
๐Ÿ”ด CD Gouveia – Winning probability: 0.04% | Fair line: 2490.42
โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Salgueiros
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Salgueiros and CD Gouveia.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Salgueiros x CD Gouveia

Should you bet on Salgueiros?

๐Ÿ”ต Salgueiros: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 99.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.11. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 1000 times – this would give you a profit of $109.50
  • And would lose other 0 times – losing -$0.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$109.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$1000.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Gouveia?

๐Ÿ”ด CD Gouveia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 22.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Salgueiros x CD Gouveia

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Salgueiros
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Salgueiros x CD Gouveia

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.25 Salgueiros and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 Salgueiros.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.0 Salgueiros.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Salgueiros x CD Gouveia

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves