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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Salisbury FC x Hemel Hempstead Betting tips for November 30 in England National League South
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 England National League South
Salisbury FC Salisbury FC
PREDICTION No tip
Hemel Hempstead Hemel Hempstead
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Salisbury FC x Hemel Hempstead Betting tips for November 30 in England National League South

Our betting tip for Salisbury FC x Hemel Hempstead, Saturday, 30/11/2024
πŸ“… 30/11/2024
15:00
Salisbury FC Salisbury FC
1.92
X
3.42
Hemel Hempstead Hemel Hempstead
3.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Salisbury FC x Hemel Hempstead:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Salisbury FC x Hemel Hempstead

Important information for your tip for Salisbury FC x Hemel Hempstead:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Salisbury FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-245.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hemel Hempstead in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Hemel Hempstead conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Hemel Hempstead as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Salisbury FC x Hemel Hempstead?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Salisbury FC x Hemel Hempstead:

Analysis from Salisbury FC x Hemel Hempstead for the England National League South – 30 of November

🏟️ Salisbury FC X Hemel Hempstead – England National League South
πŸ“… 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Salisbury FC – Winning probability: 51.52% | Fair line: 1.94
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.59% | Fair line: 3.5
πŸ”΄ Hemel Hempstead – Winning probability: 19.88% | Fair line: 5.03
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Salisbury FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Salisbury FC x Hemel Hempstead is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Salisbury FC x Hemel Hempstead

Is it worth betting on Salisbury FC?

πŸ”΅ Salisbury FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $478.40
  • And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$1.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $701.80
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$8.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on Hemel Hempstead worth it?

πŸ”΄ Hemel Hempstead: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $450.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$350.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Salisbury FC x Hemel Hempstead

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Salisbury FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Salisbury FC x Hemel Hempstead

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Salisbury FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Salisbury FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Hemel Hempstead.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Salisbury FC x Hemel Hempstead

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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