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Home » Predictions » Sambiase x ASD Sancataldese Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Sambiase Sambiase
PREDICTION Sambiase wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
ASD Sancataldese ASD Sancataldese
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction!

Sambiase x ASD Sancataldese Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Sambiase x ASD Sancataldese, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
13:30
Sambiase Sambiase
1.36
X
4.33
ASD Sancataldese ASD Sancataldese
6.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sambiase x ASD Sancataldese:

🔮 Sambiase wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sambiase, you can win up to $680.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Sambiase x ASD Sancataldese:

👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Sancataldese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Sambiase scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 ASD Sancataldese matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, ASD Sancataldese conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Sambiase x ASD Sancataldese for the Italy Serie D – 2 of February

🏟️ Sambiase X ASD Sancataldese – Italy Serie D
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Sambiase – Winning probability: 80.27% | Fair line: 1.25
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.60% | Fair line: 6.41
🔴 ASD Sancataldese – Winning probability: 4.13% | Fair line: 24.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Sambiase
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sambiase and ASD Sancataldese.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sambiase x ASD Sancataldese

Is it worth betting on Sambiase?

🔵 Sambiase: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 800 times – profiting $288.00;
  • And would lose other 200 times – having a loss of -$200.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$88.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $532.80;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$307.20.

Should you bet on ASD Sancataldese?

🔴 ASD Sancataldese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $228.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$732.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sambiase x ASD Sancataldese

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Sambiase
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sambiase x ASD Sancataldese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Sambiase, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Sambiase.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 ASD Sancataldese.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sambiase x ASD Sancataldese

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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