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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Sambiase x Vibonese Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Sambiase Sambiase
PREDICTION No tip
Vibonese Vibonese
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Sambiase x Vibonese Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Sambiase x Vibonese, Sunday, 12/1/2025
πŸ“… 12/1/2025
13:30
Sambiase Sambiase
2.00
X
3.13
Vibonese Vibonese
3.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sambiase x Vibonese:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Sambiase x Vibonese

Some important points for the tip for Sambiase x Vibonese:

πŸ‘‰ Vibonese did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Sambiase scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Vibonese matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Sambiase matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sambiase conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Sambiase is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Vibonese has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Sambiase x Vibonese?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sambiase x Vibonese, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Sambiase x Vibonese for the Italy Serie D – 12 of January

🏟️ Sambiase X Vibonese – Italy Serie D
πŸ“… 12 of January, 2025 – 13:30
πŸ”΅ Sambiase – Winning probability: 40.95% | Fair line: 2.44
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.10% | Fair line: 3.32
πŸ”΄ Vibonese – Winning probability: 28.95% | Fair line: 3.45
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sambiase
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sambiase x Vibonese right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sambiase x Vibonese

Should you bet on Sambiase?

πŸ”΅ Sambiase: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $410.00;
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$180.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.13. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $639.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$61.00.

Should you bet on Vibonese?

πŸ”΄ Vibonese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $667.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$43.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sambiase x Vibonese

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sambiase
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sambiase x Vibonese

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Sambiase and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Sambiase.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Sambiase.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sambiase x Vibonese

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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