Samgurali x FC Iberia 1999 Betting tips for September 30 in Georgia Erovnuli Liga
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30/9/2024 09:00 |
 Samgurali3.00 |
X 3.45 |
FC Iberia 1999  2.05 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Samgurali x FC Iberia 1999:
๐ฎ FC Iberia 1999 wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Iberia 1999, you can win up to $1025.00!
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Important information for your tip for Samgurali x FC Iberia 1999: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Samgurali in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. |
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Analysis from Samgurali x FC Iberia 1999 for the Georgia Erovnuli Liga – 30 of September
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๐๏ธ Samgurali X FC Iberia 1999 – Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Samgurali x FC Iberia 1999 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Samgurali x FC Iberia 1999
Is it a good idea to bet on Samgurali?
๐ต Samgurali: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $480.00;
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$280.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $588.00
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$172.00.
Is it worth betting on FC Iberia 1999?
๐ด FC Iberia 1999: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 530 times – profiting $556.50;
- And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$86.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Samgurali x FC Iberia 1999
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Samgurali
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Samgurali x FC Iberia 1999
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Samgurali, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Samgurali.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 FC Iberia 1999.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Samgurali x FC Iberia 1999
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
