📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Samsunspor x Kocaelispor
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If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Samsunspor x Kocaelispor:
Analysis from Samsunspor x Kocaelispor for the Turkey 1 Lig – 21 of January
🏟️ Samsunspor X Kocaelispor – Turkey 1 Lig
When the best bet on Samsunspor x Kocaelispor is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290173 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Samsunspor x Kocaelispor
Is it worth betting on Samsunspor?
🔵 Samsunspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 680 times – having a profit of $340.00;
- And would lose other 320 times – losing -$320.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$20.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $580.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$220.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Kocaelispor?
🔴 Kocaelispor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.78. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $620.75;
- And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$249.25.
Handicaps analysis for the match Samsunspor x Kocaelispor
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Samsunspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Samsunspor x Kocaelispor
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Samsunspor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Samsunspor.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Samsunspor.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Samsunspor x Kocaelispor
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves