Samut Prakan City x Chonburi Betting tips for January 12 in Thailand Division 2
| 📅 12/1/2025 11:30 |
 Samut Prakan City4.50 |
X 3.75 |
Chonburi  1.60 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Samut Prakan City x Chonburi:
🔮 Chonburi wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chonburi, you can win up to $800.00!
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Important information for your tip for Samut Prakan City x Chonburi: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Samut Prakan City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Samut Prakan City x Chonburi for the Thailand Division 2 – 12 of January
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🏟️ Samut Prakan City X Chonburi – Thailand Division 2 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Samut Prakan City x Chonburi right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Samut Prakan City x Chonburi
Is it worth betting on Samut Prakan City?
🔵 Samut Prakan City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 90 times – profiting $315.00;
- And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$595.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $577.50;
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$212.50.
Is betting on Chonburi worth it?
🔴 Chonburi: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 69.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 690 times – this would give you a profit of $414.00
- And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$104.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Samut Prakan City x Chonburi
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Samut Prakan City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Samut Prakan City x Chonburi
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Samut Prakan City and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Samut Prakan City.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Samut Prakan City x Chonburi
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
