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22/1/2022 10:30 |
 Samut Prakan City1.83 |
X 3.54 |
Police Tero FC  3.50 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Samut Prakan City x Police Tero FC:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1770.00!
๐ฎ Police Tero FC wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Police Tero FC, you can win up to $1750.00!
๐ Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Samut Prakan City x Police Tero FC
Looking for another bookie to bet on Samut Prakan City x Police Tero FC?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Samut Prakan City x Police Tero FC:
Analysis from Samut Prakan City x Police Tero FC for the Thailand Premier League – 22 of January
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๐๏ธ Samut Prakan City X Police Tero FC – Thailand Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Samut Prakan City x Police Tero FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290605 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Samut Prakan City x Police Tero FC
Should you bet on Samut Prakan City?
๐ต Samut Prakan City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $298.80;
- And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$341.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – profiting $863.60;
- And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$203.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on Police Tero FC?
๐ด Police Tero FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.06% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $750.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$50.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Samut Prakan City x Police Tero FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Samut Prakan City
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Samut Prakan City x Police Tero FC
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Samut Prakan City and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Samut Prakan City.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Police Tero FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Samut Prakan City x Police Tero FC
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
