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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» San Antonio FC Cotacachi x Chacaritas SC Betting tips for October 2 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 17h30 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
San Antonio FC Cotacachi San Antonio FC Cotacachi
PREDICTION No tip
Chacaritas SC Chacaritas SC
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San Antonio FC Cotacachi x Chacaritas SC Betting tips for October 2 in Ecuador LigaPro Serie B

Our betting tip for San Antonio FC Cotacachi x Chacaritas SC, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
πŸ“… 2/10/2024
17:30
San Antonio FC Cotacachi San Antonio FC Cotacachi
1.61
X
3.25
Chacaritas SC Chacaritas SC
5.25

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for San Antonio FC Cotacachi x Chacaritas SC:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for San Antonio FC Cotacachi x Chacaritas SC

Some important points for the tip for San Antonio FC Cotacachi x Chacaritas SC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on San Antonio FC Cotacachi in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Chacaritas SC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 San Antonio FC Cotacachi matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Chacaritas SC conceded at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Chacaritas SC as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from San Antonio FC Cotacachi x Chacaritas SC for the Ecuador LigaPro Serie B – 2 of October

🏟️ San Antonio FC Cotacachi X Chacaritas SC – Ecuador LigaPro Serie B
πŸ“… 2 of October, 2024 – 17:30
πŸ”΅ San Antonio FC Cotacachi – Winning probability: 54.23% | Fair line: 1.84
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.88% | Fair line: 3.14
πŸ”΄ Chacaritas SC – Winning probability: 13.89% | Fair line: 7.2
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between San Antonio FC Cotacachi and Chacaritas SC.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1193870 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for San Antonio FC Cotacachi x Chacaritas SC

Is it a good idea to bet on San Antonio FC Cotacachi?

πŸ”΅ San Antonio FC Cotacachi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 54.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.61. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – profiting $329.40;
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$130.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $720.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$40.00.

Is it worth betting on Chacaritas SC?

πŸ”΄ Chacaritas SC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $595.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$265.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match San Antonio FC Cotacachi x Chacaritas SC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 San Antonio FC Cotacachi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for San Antonio FC Cotacachi x Chacaritas SC

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 San Antonio FC Cotacachi, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 San Antonio FC Cotacachi.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for San Antonio FC Cotacachi x Chacaritas SC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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