San Fernando CD x UCAM Murcia CF Betting tips for April 12 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
| 📅 12/4/2025 16:00 |
 San Fernando CD3.12 |
X 2.68 |
UCAM Murcia CF  2.45 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for San Fernando CD x UCAM Murcia CF:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1340.00!
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Some important points for the tip for San Fernando CD x UCAM Murcia CF: 👉 If you had bet $100 on San Fernando CD in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-130.0. |
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Analysis from San Fernando CD x UCAM Murcia CF for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 12 of April
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🏟️ San Fernando CD X UCAM Murcia CF – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between San Fernando CD and UCAM Murcia CF.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1301554 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for San Fernando CD x UCAM Murcia CF
Is betting on San Fernando CD worth it?
🔵 San Fernando CD: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 240 times – profiting $508.80;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$251.20.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $705.60;
- And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$125.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on UCAM Murcia CF?
🔴 UCAM Murcia CF: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $478.50;
- And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$191.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match San Fernando CD x UCAM Murcia CF
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 San Fernando CD
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for San Fernando CD x UCAM Murcia CF
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 San Fernando CD, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 San Fernando CD.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for San Fernando CD x UCAM Murcia CF
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
