San Marcos De Arica x Deportes Recoleta Betting tips for May 5 in Chile Primera B

Our betting tip for San Marcos De Arica x Deportes Recoleta, Tuesday, 5/5/2026

📅 5/5/2026 00:30

San Marcos De Arica 1.82

X 3.25

Deportes Recoleta 3.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for San Marcos De Arica x Deportes Recoleta:

🔮 San Marcos De Arica wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on San Marcos De Arica, you can win up to $910.00!

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Some important points for the tip for San Marcos De Arica x Deportes Recoleta:

👉 If you had bet $100 on San Marcos De Arica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportes Recoleta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $725.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Deportes Recoleta scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Deportes Recoleta, San Marcos De Arica scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Deportes Recoleta matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between San Marcos De Arica x Deportes Recoleta, with San Marcos De Arica as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Deportes Recoleta conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, San Marcos De Arica conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Deportes Recoleta.
👉 San Marcos De Arica has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Deportes Recoleta.

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Analysis from San Marcos De Arica x Deportes Recoleta for the Chile Primera B – 5 of May

Odds and handicap movements for San Marcos De Arica x Deportes Recoleta

Before confirming your prediction, it is worth taking a look at how the odds have moved since the market opened. When the market adjusts the price (even slightly) it is usually because money flowed in, new information emerged or the bookmakers recalibrated their risk.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the main markets for San Marcos De Arica x Deportes Recoleta (1X2, handicap and goals).

Tips for the 1×2 market for San Marcos De Arica x Deportes Recoleta

When the best bet on San Marcos De Arica x Deportes Recoleta is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1538756 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it worth betting on San Marcos De Arica?

🔵 San Marcos De Arica: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 68.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 680 times – profiting $557.60;
• And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$237.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 170 times – profiting $382.50;
• And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$447.50.

Is it worth betting on Deportes Recoleta?

🔴 Deportes Recoleta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $406.00;
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$454.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match San Marcos De Arica x Deportes Recoleta

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 San Marcos De Arica
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for San Marcos De Arica x Deportes Recoleta

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 San Marcos De Arica, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 San Marcos De Arica.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for San Marcos De Arica x Deportes Recoleta

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for San Marcos De Arica x Deportes Recoleta