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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป San Martin de San Juan x Agropecuario Betting tips for September 29 in Argentina Nacional B
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 16h30 Argentina Nacional B
San Martin de San Juan San Martin de San Juan
PREDICTION San Martin de San Juan wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Agropecuario Agropecuario
ODD: @1.68 Don't miss this prediction!

San Martin de San Juan x Agropecuario Betting tips for September 29 in Argentina Nacional B

Our betting tip for San Martin de San Juan x Agropecuario, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
16:30
San Martin de San Juan San Martin de San Juan
1.68
X
3.32
Agropecuario Agropecuario
5.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for San Martin de San Juan x Agropecuario:

๐Ÿ”ฎ San Martin de San Juan wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on San Martin de San Juan, you can win up to $840.00!

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Important information for your tip for San Martin de San Juan x Agropecuario:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on San Martin de San Juan in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $209.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Agropecuario in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Agropecuario did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Agropecuario, San Martin de San Juan scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Agropecuario matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Agropecuario conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ San Martin de San Juan has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Agropecuario playing at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Agropecuario as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on San Martin de San Juan x Agropecuario?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on San Martin de San Juan x Agropecuario:

Analysis from San Martin de San Juan x Agropecuario for the Argentina Nacional B – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ San Martin de San Juan X Agropecuario – Argentina Nacional B
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 16:30
๐Ÿ”ต San Martin de San Juan – Winning probability: 66.79% | Fair line: 1.5
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.86% | Fair line: 3.72
๐Ÿ”ด Agropecuario – Winning probability: 6.35% | Fair line: 15.74
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 San Martin de San Juan
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for San Martin de San Juan x Agropecuario right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for San Martin de San Juan x Agropecuario

Should you bet on San Martin de San Juan?

๐Ÿ”ต San Martin de San Juan: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.68. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 670 times – having a profit of $455.60;
  • And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$125.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $626.40
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$103.60.

Should you bet on Agropecuario?

๐Ÿ”ด Agropecuario: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $240.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$700.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match San Martin de San Juan x Agropecuario

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 San Martin de San Juan
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for San Martin de San Juan x Agropecuario

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 San Martin de San Juan and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 San Martin de San Juan.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 San Martin de San Juan.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for San Martin de San Juan x Agropecuario

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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