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16/1/2022 12:30 |
 Sandhausen3.00 |
X 3.40 |
Jahn Regensburg  2.24 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sandhausen x Jahn Regensburg:
๐ฎ Jahn Regensburg wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Jahn Regensburg, you can win up to $1120.00!
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Sandhausen x Jahn Regensburg
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Analysis from Sandhausen x Jahn Regensburg for the Germany Bundesliga II – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ Sandhausen X Jahn Regensburg – Germany Bundesliga II |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sandhausen x Jahn Regensburg right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sandhausen x Jahn Regensburg
Should you bet on Sandhausen?
๐ต Sandhausen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $500.00
- And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$250.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $624.00;
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$116.00.
Should you bet on Jahn Regensburg?
๐ด Jahn Regensburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 490 times – profiting $607.60;
- And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$97.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sandhausen x Jahn Regensburg
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Sandhausen
โฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sandhausen x Jahn Regensburg
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Sandhausen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Sandhausen.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Jahn Regensburg.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sandhausen x Jahn Regensburg
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Sunday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
