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Home » Predictions » Sangiovannese x Grosseto Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Sangiovannese Sangiovannese
PREDICTION No tip
Grosseto Grosseto
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Sangiovannese x Grosseto Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Sangiovannese x Grosseto, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
13:30
Sangiovannese Sangiovannese
3.00
X
3.00
Grosseto Grosseto
2.24

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sangiovannese x Grosseto:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Sangiovannese x Grosseto

The main points for the tip for Sangiovannese x Grosseto:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Grosseto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $410.0.
👉 Sangiovannese did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Grosseto scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Sangiovannese matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Sangiovannese x Grosseto for the Italy Serie D – 2 of February

🏟️ Sangiovannese X Grosseto – Italy Serie D
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Sangiovannese – Winning probability: 26.60% | Fair line: 3.76
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.46% | Fair line: 3.39
🔴 Grosseto – Winning probability: 43.94% | Fair line: 2.28
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Sangiovannese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sangiovannese x Grosseto right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sangiovannese x Grosseto

Is betting on Sangiovannese worth it?

🔵 Sangiovannese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$190.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $580.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$130.00.

Should you bet on Grosseto?

🔴 Grosseto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $545.60
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$14.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sangiovannese x Grosseto

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Sangiovannese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sangiovannese x Grosseto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Sangiovannese and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Sangiovannese.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Grosseto.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sangiovannese x Grosseto

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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