Santa Ana x AD Guanacasteca Betting tips for November 26 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for Santa Ana x AD Guanacasteca, Tuesday, 26/11/2024

📅 26/11/2024
02:00

Santa Ana
2.17

X
3.20

AD Guanacasteca

2.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Santa Ana x AD Guanacasteca:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Santa Ana x AD Guanacasteca

Important information for your tip for Santa Ana x AD Guanacasteca:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Santa Ana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Guanacasteca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against AD Guanacasteca, Santa Ana scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 AD Guanacasteca matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Santa Ana x AD Guanacasteca, with Santa Ana as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Santa Ana conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, AD Guanacasteca conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Santa Ana conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against AD Guanacasteca.
👉 Santa Ana has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against AD Guanacasteca playing at home.

Summary

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Analysis from Santa Ana x AD Guanacasteca for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 26 of November

🏟️ Santa Ana X AD Guanacasteca – Costa Rica Primera Division
📅 26 of November, 2024 – 02:00
🔵 Santa Ana – Winning probability: 44.56% | Fair line: 2.24
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.80% | Fair line: 3.36
🔴 AD Guanacasteca – Winning probability: 25.64% | Fair line: 3.9
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Santa Ana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Santa Ana and AD Guanacasteca.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1226284 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Santa Ana x AD Guanacasteca

Should you bet on Santa Ana?

🔵 Santa Ana: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $526.50;
And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$23.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Should you bet on AD Guanacasteca?

🔴 AD Guanacasteca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 260 times – profiting $494.00;
And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$246.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Santa Ana x AD Guanacasteca

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Santa Ana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santa Ana x AD Guanacasteca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Santa Ana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Santa Ana.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 AD Guanacasteca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santa Ana x AD Guanacasteca

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.