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Home » Predictions » Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa x Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Betting tips for March 1 in Guatemala Primera Division
Sunday, 01 March 2026, 22h00 Guatemala Primera Division
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa
PREDICTION Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
ODD: @1.7
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Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa x Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Betting tips for March 1 in Guatemala Primera Division

Our betting tip for Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa x Nueva Santa Rosa CDF, Sunday, 1/3/2026
📅 1/3/2026
22:00
Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa
1.70
X
3.40
Nueva Santa Rosa CDF Nueva Santa Rosa CDF
4.45

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa x Nueva Santa Rosa CDF:

🔮 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa wins the match
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Important information for your tip for Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa x Nueva Santa Rosa CDF:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nueva Santa Rosa CDF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Nueva Santa Rosa CDF conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa x Nueva Santa Rosa CDF for the Guatemala Primera Division – 1 of March

🏟️ Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa X Nueva Santa Rosa CDF – Guatemala Primera Division
📅 1 of March, 2026 – 22:00
🔵 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa – Winning probability: 65.50% | Fair line: 1.53
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.15% | Fair line: 4.32
🔴 Nueva Santa Rosa CDF – Winning probability: 11.35% | Fair line: 8.81
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

How the handicap and odds moved for Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa x Nueva Santa Rosa CDF

We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa x Nueva Santa Rosa CDF.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

📊 The odds for Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa had a slight Raised of 8.04%: the market opened with odds of @1.666 for Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa and now the odds are @1.8.
📊 With a variation of -4.41%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.4 for Draw and now the odds are @3.25.
📊 The odds for Nueva Santa Rosa CDF had a great Decreased of -12.30%: the market opened with odds of @4.333 for Nueva Santa Rosa CDF and now the odds are @3.8.
📊 The market decreased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at -0.75 is now at -0.50 for Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.25 goals is exactly the same from its opening.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa x Nueva Santa Rosa CDF

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa x Nueva Santa Rosa CDF right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1489410 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is it worth betting on Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa?

🔵 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 65.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 650 times – having a profit of $455.00;
  • And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$105.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $552.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$218.00.

Is betting on Nueva Santa Rosa CDF worth it?

🔴 Nueva Santa Rosa CDF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $379.50;
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$510.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa x Nueva Santa Rosa CDF

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa x Nueva Santa Rosa CDF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa x Nueva Santa Rosa CDF

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa x Nueva Santa Rosa CDF

Which team is the favourite in Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa x Nueva Santa Rosa CDF?

According to our analysis, the favourite for this match is Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa, with a win probability of 65.50%. However, keep in mind that in football anything can happen!

Who will win: Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa or Nueva Santa Rosa CDF?

There are no absolutes in sports betting. Still, our model suggests Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa has the better chance to win, with a probability of 65.50%. If you choose to back Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa, do so responsibly!

What are the chances of Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa beating Nueva Santa Rosa CDF today?

According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa to win approximately 66 of them against Nueva Santa Rosa CDF.

What are the chances of Nueva Santa Rosa CDF beating Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa today?

From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Nueva Santa Rosa CDF would take victory in roughly 11 of them against Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa.

Which team should I bet on: Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa or Nueva Santa Rosa CDF?

Smart bettors seek bets with positive expected value. According to our analysis, the recommended bet is: Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa wins, with an expected value of 17.65%. Remember to bet responsibly and manage your bankroll: dont stake over 2%!

How much is Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa paying today? See what you can win by betting on Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa x Nueva Santa Rosa CDF:

The average odds for Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa to beat Nueva Santa Rosa CDF today are 1.70. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh1700.00 if Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

How much is Nueva Santa Rosa CDF paying today? See what you can win by betting on Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa x Nueva Santa Rosa CDF:

The average odds for Nueva Santa Rosa CDF to beat Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa today are 4.45. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh4450.00 if Nueva Santa Rosa CDF wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

Which site should I use to bet on Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa x Nueva Santa Rosa CDF?

To bet on the match between Santa Lucia Cotzumalguapa and Nueva Santa Rosa CDF, we recommend using licensed and reputable bookmakers. Here are three bookmakers we suggest for this fixture:

Always gamble responsibly!

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves