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Home » Predictions » Santa Lucia FC x Mgarr United Betting tips for February 2 in Malta Challenge League
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 15h30 Malta Challenge League
Santa Lucia FC Santa Lucia FC
PREDICTION Mgarr United Wins Probability 49% 1 X 2
Mgarr United Mgarr United
ODD: @2.44 Don't miss this prediction!

Santa Lucia FC x Mgarr United Betting tips for February 2 in Malta Challenge League

Our betting tip for Santa Lucia FC x Mgarr United, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
15:30
Santa Lucia FC Santa Lucia FC
2.64
X
3.22
Mgarr United Mgarr United
2.44

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Santa Lucia FC x Mgarr United:

🔮 Mgarr United wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mgarr United, you can win up to $1220.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Santa Lucia FC x Mgarr United:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Santa Lucia FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $555.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Mgarr United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-105.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Santa Lucia FC scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Santa Lucia FC is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Santa Lucia FC x Mgarr United for the Malta Challenge League – 2 of February

🏟️ Santa Lucia FC X Mgarr United – Malta Challenge League
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 15:30
🔵 Santa Lucia FC – Winning probability: 24.59% | Fair line: 4.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.50% | Fair line: 3.92
🔴 Mgarr United – Winning probability: 49.90% | Fair line: 2.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Santa Lucia FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Santa Lucia FC x Mgarr United is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Santa Lucia FC x Mgarr United

Is it worth betting on Santa Lucia FC?

🔵 Santa Lucia FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $410.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$340.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $577.20
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$162.80.

Is betting on Mgarr United worth it?

🔴 Mgarr United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $720.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$220.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Santa Lucia FC x Mgarr United

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Santa Lucia FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santa Lucia FC x Mgarr United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Santa Lucia FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Santa Lucia FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Mgarr United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santa Lucia FC x Mgarr United

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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