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Home Β» Predictions Β» Santa Lucia FC x Pieta Hotspurs Betting tips for September 29 in Malta Challenge League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 13h00 Malta Challenge League
Santa Lucia FC Santa Lucia FC
PREDICTION No tip
Pieta Hotspurs Pieta Hotspurs
Don't miss this prediction!

Santa Lucia FC x Pieta Hotspurs Betting tips for September 29 in Malta Challenge League

Our betting tip for Santa Lucia FC x Pieta Hotspurs, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
13:00
Santa Lucia FC Santa Lucia FC
2.58
X
3.51
Pieta Hotspurs Pieta Hotspurs
2.34

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Santa Lucia FC x Pieta Hotspurs:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Santa Lucia FC x Pieta Hotspurs

Some important points for the tip for Santa Lucia FC x Pieta Hotspurs:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Santa Lucia FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $155.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Pieta Hotspurs in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-69.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Pieta Hotspurs scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Santa Lucia FC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 Pieta Hotspurs matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Santa Lucia FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Santa Lucia FC x Pieta Hotspurs?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Santa Lucia FC x Pieta Hotspurs, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Santa Lucia FC x Pieta Hotspurs for the Malta Challenge League – 29 of September

🏟️ Santa Lucia FC X Pieta Hotspurs – Malta Challenge League
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ Santa Lucia FC – Winning probability: 34.47% | Fair line: 2.9
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.07% | Fair line: 5.24
πŸ”΄ Pieta Hotspurs – Winning probability: 46.46% | Fair line: 2.15
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Santa Lucia FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Santa Lucia FC x Pieta Hotspurs is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Santa Lucia FC x Pieta Hotspurs

Is it worth betting on Santa Lucia FC?

πŸ”΅ Santa Lucia FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $537.20
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$122.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $476.90;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$333.10.

Is betting on Pieta Hotspurs worth it?

πŸ”΄ Pieta Hotspurs: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.34. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $616.40;
  • And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$76.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Santa Lucia FC x Pieta Hotspurs

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Santa Lucia FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santa Lucia FC x Pieta Hotspurs

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Santa Lucia FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Santa Lucia FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Pieta Hotspurs.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santa Lucia FC x Pieta Hotspurs

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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