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Home » Predictions » Others » Santiago Morning x Deportes Recoleta Betting tips for February 2 in Chile Cup
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 21h00 Chile Cup
Santiago Morning Santiago Morning
PREDICTION Deportes Recoleta Wins Probability 43% 1 X 2
Deportes Recoleta Deportes Recoleta
ODD: @2.56 Don't miss this prediction!

Santiago Morning x Deportes Recoleta Betting tips for February 2 in Chile Cup

Our betting tip for Santiago Morning x Deportes Recoleta, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
21:00
Santiago Morning Santiago Morning
2.50
X
3.02
Deportes Recoleta Deportes Recoleta
2.56

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Santiago Morning x Deportes Recoleta:

🔮 Deportes Recoleta wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportes Recoleta, you can win up to $1280.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Santiago Morning x Deportes Recoleta:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Santiago Morning in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportes Recoleta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0.
👉 In the last 4 Santiago Morning matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Santiago Morning conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Santiago Morning conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Deportes Recoleta.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Deportes Recoleta has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Santiago Morning x Deportes Recoleta?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Santiago Morning x Deportes Recoleta, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Santiago Morning x Deportes Recoleta for the Chile Cup – 2 of February

🏟️ Santiago Morning X Deportes Recoleta – Chile Cup
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 21:00
🔵 Santiago Morning – Winning probability: 39.10% | Fair line: 2.56
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.98% | Fair line: 5.89
🔴 Deportes Recoleta – Winning probability: 43.92% | Fair line: 2.28
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Santiago Morning
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Santiago Morning x Deportes Recoleta right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255527 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Santiago Morning x Deportes Recoleta

Is it worth betting on Santiago Morning?

🔵 Santiago Morning: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $585.00
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$25.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $343.40;
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$486.60.

Is betting on Deportes Recoleta worth it?

🔴 Deportes Recoleta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $686.40;
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$126.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Santiago Morning x Deportes Recoleta

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Santiago Morning
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santiago Morning x Deportes Recoleta

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Santiago Morning and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Santiago Morning.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Santiago Morning.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santiago Morning x Deportes Recoleta

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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