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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Santos AP x Ypiranga AP Betting tips for March 11 in Brazil Campeonato Amapaense
Tuesday, 11 March 2025, 23h00 Brazil Campeonato Amapaense
Santos AP Santos AP
PREDICTION No tip
Ypiranga AP Ypiranga AP
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Santos AP x Ypiranga AP Betting tips for March 11 in Brazil Campeonato Amapaense

Our betting tip for Santos AP x Ypiranga AP, Tuesday, 11/3/2025
πŸ“… 11/3/2025
23:00
Santos AP Santos AP
2.25
X
3.00
Ypiranga AP Ypiranga AP
2.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Santos AP x Ypiranga AP:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Santos AP x Ypiranga AP

Important information for your tip for Santos AP x Ypiranga AP:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Santos AP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ypiranga AP in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $191.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Santos AP scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Ypiranga AP, Santos AP scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Santos AP matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Santos AP x Ypiranga AP, with Santos AP as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Santos AP x Ypiranga AP?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Santos AP x Ypiranga AP, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Santos AP x Ypiranga AP for the Brazil Campeonato Amapaense – 11 of March

🏟️ Santos AP X Ypiranga AP – Brazil Campeonato Amapaense
πŸ“… 11 of March, 2025 – 23:00
πŸ”΅ Santos AP – Winning probability: 39.47% | Fair line: 2.53
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.41% | Fair line: 3.18
πŸ”΄ Ypiranga AP – Winning probability: 29.12% | Fair line: 3.43
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Santos AP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Santos AP and Ypiranga AP.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1280099 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Santos AP x Ypiranga AP

Is betting on Santos AP worth it?

πŸ”΅ Santos AP: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $487.50;
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$122.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $620.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$70.00.

Is betting on Ypiranga AP worth it?

πŸ”΄ Ypiranga AP: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $551.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$159.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Santos AP x Ypiranga AP

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Santos AP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santos AP x Ypiranga AP

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Santos AP and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Santos AP.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Santos AP.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santos AP x Ypiranga AP

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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