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Home » Predictions » Others » Santos x Botafogo SP Betting tips for February 6 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Thursday, 06 February 2025, 00h35 Brazil Campeonato Paulista
Santos Santos
PREDICTION Santos wins Probability 89% 1 X 2
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
ODD: @1.35 Don't miss this prediction!

Santos x Botafogo SP Betting tips for February 6 in Brazil Campeonato Paulista

Our betting tip for Santos x Botafogo SP, Thursday, 6/2/2025
📅 6/2/2025
00:35
Santos Santos
1.35
X
4.50
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
8.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Santos x Botafogo SP:

🔮 Santos wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santos, you can win up to $675.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Santos x Botafogo SP:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Santos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $139.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo SP in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $530.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Santos scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Santos matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Santos conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Santos x Botafogo SP for the Brazil Campeonato Paulista – 6 of February

🏟️ Santos X Botafogo SP – Brazil Campeonato Paulista
📅 6 of February, 2025 – 00:35
🔵 Santos – Winning probability: 89.67% | Fair line: 1.12
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.19% | Fair line: 13.91
🔴 Botafogo SP – Winning probability: 3.14% | Fair line: 31.8
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Santos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Santos x Botafogo SP right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1257906 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Santos x Botafogo SP

Is it a good idea to bet on Santos?

🔵 Santos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 89.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – profiting $315.00;
  • And would lose other 100 times – having a loss of -$100.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$215.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $245.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$685.00.

Should you bet on Botafogo SP?

🔴 Botafogo SP: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $210.00
  • And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$760.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Santos x Botafogo SP

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Santos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santos x Botafogo SP

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Santos and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Santos.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santos x Botafogo SP

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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