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21/1/2022 23:00 |
 Santos U201.75 |
X 3.55 |
America MG U20  4.12 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Santos U20 x America MG U20:
๐ฎ Santos U20 wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Santos U20, you can win up to $872.50!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Santos U20 x America MG U20
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Santos U20 x America MG U20?
If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best bookies analysed by us in 2022. You just have to click, deposit and bet:
Analysis from Santos U20 x America MG U20 for the Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup – 21 of January
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๐๏ธ Santos U20 X America MG U20 – Brazil Sao Paulo Youth Cup |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Santos U20 x America MG U20 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 290581 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Santos U20 x America MG U20
Should you bet on Santos U20?
๐ต Santos U20: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 710 times – profiting $528.95;
- And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$238.95.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – profiting $331.50;
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$538.50.
Is it worth betting on America MG U20?
๐ด America MG U20: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $499.20;
- And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$340.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Santos U20 x America MG U20
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Santos U20
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santos U20 x America MG U20
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Santos U20 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Santos U20.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Santos U20.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santos U20 x America MG U20
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
