Santurtzi x Lagun Onak Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 4

Our betting tip for Santurtzi x Lagun Onak, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 10:15

Santurtzi 3.00

X 3.20

Lagun Onak 2.15

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Santurtzi x Lagun Onak:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Santurtzi x Lagun Onak

The main points for the tip for Santurtzi x Lagun Onak: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Santurtzi in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lagun Onak in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Lagun Onak scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Lagun Onak, Santurtzi scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Santurtzi conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Lagun Onak conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Santurtzi has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Lagun Onak playing at home.

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Analysis from Santurtzi x Lagun Onak for the Spain Tercera Group 4 – 12 of January

When the best bet on Santurtzi x Lagun Onak is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Santurtzi x Lagun Onak

Is it a good idea to bet on Santurtzi?

🔵 Santurtzi: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$10.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $616.00;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$104.00.

Should you bet on Lagun Onak?

🔴 Lagun Onak: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $448.50;
• And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$161.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Santurtzi x Lagun Onak

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Santurtzi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Santurtzi x Lagun Onak

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Santurtzi, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Santurtzi.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Santurtzi.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Santurtzi x Lagun Onak

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.