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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Sao Bernardo SP x ABC Betting tips for April 13 in Brazil Serie C
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 19h00 Brazil Serie C
Sao Bernardo SP Sao Bernardo SP
PREDICTION No tip
ABC ABC
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Sao Bernardo SP x ABC Betting tips for April 13 in Brazil Serie C

Our betting tip for Sao Bernardo SP x ABC, Sunday, 13/4/2025
πŸ“… 13/4/2025
19:00
Sao Bernardo SP Sao Bernardo SP
1.76
X
3.30
ABC ABC
4.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sao Bernardo SP x ABC:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Sao Bernardo SP x ABC

Important information for your tip for Sao Bernardo SP x ABC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sao Bernardo SP in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-20.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on ABC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-53.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 ABC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, ABC has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Sao Bernardo SP x ABC for the Brazil Serie C – 13 of April

🏟️ Sao Bernardo SP X ABC – Brazil Serie C
πŸ“… 13 of April, 2025 – 19:00
πŸ”΅ Sao Bernardo SP – Winning probability: 51.04% | Fair line: 1.96
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.73% | Fair line: 3.61
πŸ”΄ ABC – Winning probability: 21.24% | Fair line: 4.71
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sao Bernardo SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Sao Bernardo SP x ABC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302187 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sao Bernardo SP x ABC

Is it a good idea to bet on Sao Bernardo SP?

πŸ”΅ Sao Bernardo SP: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $387.60
  • And would have lost other 490 times – with a loss of -$490.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$102.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $644.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$76.00.

Should you bet on ABC?

πŸ”΄ ABC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $735.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$55.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sao Bernardo SP x ABC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sao Bernardo SP
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sao Bernardo SP x ABC

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Sao Bernardo SP and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Sao Bernardo SP.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 ABC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sao Bernardo SP x ABC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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