📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Sao Joao Ver x Pevidem SC
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Analysis from Sao Joao Ver x Pevidem SC for the Portugal Liga 3 – 16 of January
🏟️ Sao Joao Ver X Pevidem SC – Portugal Liga 3
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sao Joao Ver x Pevidem SC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sao Joao Ver x Pevidem SC
Is betting on Sao Joao Ver worth it?
🔵 Sao Joao Ver: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 71.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 720 times – this would give you a profit of $266.40
- And would lose other 280 times – losing -$280.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$13.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $504.75;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$345.25.
Is it worth betting on Pevidem SC?
🔴 Pevidem SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $695.50;
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$174.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sao Joao Ver x Pevidem SC
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Sao Joao Ver
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sao Joao Ver x Pevidem SC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Sao Joao Ver, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Sao Joao Ver.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Pevidem SC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sao Joao Ver x Pevidem SC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves