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Home » Predictions » Others » Sao Luiz x EC Pelotas Betting tips for February 6 in Brazil Campeonato Gaucho
Thursday, 06 February 2025, 00h30 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho
Sao Luiz Sao Luiz
PREDICTION Sao Luiz wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
EC Pelotas EC Pelotas
ODD: @1.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Sao Luiz x EC Pelotas Betting tips for February 6 in Brazil Campeonato Gaucho

Our betting tip for Sao Luiz x EC Pelotas, Thursday, 6/2/2025
📅 6/2/2025
00:30
Sao Luiz Sao Luiz
1.90
X
2.95
EC Pelotas EC Pelotas
4.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sao Luiz x EC Pelotas:

🔮 Sao Luiz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sao Luiz, you can win up to $950.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Sao Luiz x EC Pelotas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Luiz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $422.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Pelotas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Sao Luiz scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 EC Pelotas matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Sao Luiz has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against EC Pelotas playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Sao Luiz x EC Pelotas for the Brazil Campeonato Gaucho – 6 of February

🏟️ Sao Luiz X EC Pelotas – Brazil Campeonato Gaucho
📅 6 of February, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 Sao Luiz – Winning probability: 55.76% | Fair line: 1.79
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.94% | Fair line: 3.34
🔴 EC Pelotas – Winning probability: 14.30% | Fair line: 6.99
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sao Luiz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sao Luiz x EC Pelotas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1257906 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sao Luiz x EC Pelotas

Should you bet on Sao Luiz?

🔵 Sao Luiz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 55.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
  • And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$64.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $585.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$115.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on EC Pelotas?

🔴 EC Pelotas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $448.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$412.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sao Luiz x EC Pelotas

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Sao Luiz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sao Luiz x EC Pelotas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Sao Luiz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Sao Luiz.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 EC Pelotas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sao Luiz x EC Pelotas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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