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Home » Predictions » Others » Sao Paulo Women x Sport Recife Women Betting tips for April 16 in Brazil Serie A1 Women
Wednesday, 16 April 2025, 19h00 Brazil Serie A1 Women
Sao Paulo Women Sao Paulo Women
PREDICTION Sao Paulo Women wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Sport Recife Women Sport Recife Women
ODD: @1.09 Don't miss this prediction!

Sao Paulo Women x Sport Recife Women Betting tips for April 16 in Brazil Serie A1 Women

Our betting tip for Sao Paulo Women x Sport Recife Women, Wednesday, 16/4/2025
📅 16/4/2025
19:00
Sao Paulo Women Sao Paulo Women
1.09
X
7.50
Sport Recife Women Sport Recife Women
21.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sao Paulo Women x Sport Recife Women:

🔮 Sao Paulo Women wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sao Paulo Women, you can win up to $545.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Sao Paulo Women x Sport Recife Women:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sao Paulo Women in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-199.0.
👉 In the last 3 Sport Recife Women matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sport Recife Women conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Sao Paulo Women x Sport Recife Women for the Brazil Serie A1 Women – 16 of April

🏟️ Sao Paulo Women X Sport Recife Women – Brazil Serie A1 Women
📅 16 of April, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Sao Paulo Women – Winning probability: 99.68% | Fair line: 1.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.30% | Fair line: 338.07
🔴 Sport Recife Women – Winning probability: 0.02% | Fair line: 5107.38
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.75 Sao Paulo Women
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Sao Paulo Women x Sport Recife Women is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304980 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sao Paulo Women x Sport Recife Women

Is it worth betting on Sao Paulo Women?

🔵 Sao Paulo Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.09. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 1000 times – this would give you a profit of $90.00
  • And would have lost other 0 times – with a loss of -$0.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$90.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Should you bet on Sport Recife Women?

🔴 Sport Recife Women: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 21.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sao Paulo Women x Sport Recife Women

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.75 Sao Paulo Women
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sao Paulo Women x Sport Recife Women

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.75 Sao Paulo Women, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.5 Sao Paulo Women.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.5 Sao Paulo Women.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sao Paulo Women x Sport Recife Women

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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