Sarmiento de Resistencia x Kimberley Mar del Plata Betting tips for September 29 in Argentina Torneo A

Our betting tip for Sarmiento de Resistencia x Kimberley Mar del Plata, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 19:30

Sarmiento de Resistencia 2.05

X 2.96

Kimberley Mar del Plata 3.40

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sarmiento de Resistencia x Kimberley Mar del Plata:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Sarmiento de Resistencia x Kimberley Mar del Plata

Some important points for the tip for Sarmiento de Resistencia x Kimberley Mar del Plata: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sarmiento de Resistencia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Kimberley Mar del Plata in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sarmiento de Resistencia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Sarmiento de Resistencia matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Sarmiento de Resistencia x Kimberley Mar del Plata for the Argentina Torneo A – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sarmiento de Resistencia x Kimberley Mar del Plata right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1191083 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sarmiento de Resistencia x Kimberley Mar del Plata

Is it worth betting on Sarmiento de Resistencia?

🔵 Sarmiento de Resistencia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 420 times – profiting $441.00;
• And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$139.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $686.00;
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$36.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on Kimberley Mar del Plata?

🔴 Kimberley Mar del Plata: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $552.00
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$218.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Sarmiento de Resistencia x Kimberley Mar del Plata

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Sarmiento de Resistencia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sarmiento de Resistencia x Kimberley Mar del Plata

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Sarmiento de Resistencia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Sarmiento de Resistencia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Sarmiento de Resistencia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sarmiento de Resistencia x Kimberley Mar del Plata

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.