Sarmiento x Instituto AC Cordoba Betting tips for November 9 in Argentina Liga Profesional
| 📅 9/11/2025 22:20 |
 Sarmiento2.87 |
X 2.65 |
Instituto AC Cordoba  2.80 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sarmiento x Instituto AC Cordoba:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1325.00!
The main points for the tip for Sarmiento x Instituto AC Cordoba:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sarmiento in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Instituto AC Cordoba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Sarmiento did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Instituto AC Cordoba, Sarmiento scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Sarmiento matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 Instituto AC Cordoba matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sarmiento conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Sarmiento conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Instituto AC Cordoba.
👉 It is not a good time for Sarmiento as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.
🤖 What does ChatGPT think about our prediction for Sarmiento vs Instituto AC Cordoba?
Lets analyze the match between Sarmiento and Instituto AC Córdoba, which will take place at Estadio Eva Perón, home of Sarmiento. 🏟️
📈 Performance analysis and table: Sarmiento has a weak recent home performance, with only 1 win in the last 5 games at their stadium, averaging 1 goal per game and conceding 1 goal as well. They have balanced possession stats (45%) and shots (11 for and against), but suffer more on-target shots (5 against vs 4 for). Institutos away campaign is even worse: no wins in the last five away games, nearly zero goals scored (0), and about 1 goal conceded per match. Possession is balanced for the visitors at 50%, but they face more shots on goal (15 against 10). In the table, Instituto is fighting to enter the G-8 of the playoffs in the Torneio Clausura with some recent irregularity.
📰 Recent news: Instituto has gone five games without defeat but with many draws — showing a solid defensive team but with limited offensive effectiveness. Coach Diego Oldrá criticized the teams lack of consistency. No negative news about Sarmiento, which will play at their usual stadium.
Odds analysis: Final odds indicate a slight favoritism for Instituto (2.35), followed by a draw (2.75), and then a much higher Sarmiento win (3.8). Normalized implied probabilities are approximately: home win ~27%, draw ~36%, away win ~37%. Considering the fragile defensive stats of both teams and the recent poor away form of the visitors without recent wins, my fair estimate would be: Sarmiento win ~33%, draw ~30%, Instituto win ~37%. I see slightly more value in the home win, which is underestimated by the betting houses.
Suggested bet by Clube da Aposta model: The model suggests betting on a draw with a positive EV (~10%), but I partially disagree because I believe the real value lies in a possible upset by the home team due to their natural advantage playing at Estadio Eva Perón, where they have strong local support; additionally, the visitors have clear offensive difficulties away.
I would moderately bet on Sarmientos victory, as current odds are too high compared to their potential playing at home against an offensively inconsistent opponent.
🎯 In summary: Take advantage of this high odds to bet on home strength! ⚽🔥
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Analysis from Sarmiento x Instituto AC Cordoba for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 9 of November
🏟️ Sarmiento X Instituto AC Cordoba – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 9 of November, 2025 – 22:20
🔵 Sarmiento – Winning probability: 21.30% | Fair line: 4.69
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 40.90% | Fair line: 2.44
🔴 Instituto AC Cordoba – Winning probability: 37.79% | Fair line: 2.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sarmiento
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
When the best bet on Sarmiento x Instituto AC Cordoba is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1434883 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Latest news on Sarmiento x Instituto AC Cordoba
Córdoba Institute: Córdoba Institute, under the leadership of Diego “Gato” Oldrá and captained by Fernando Alarcón, has been fighting to secure a spot in the 2025 Clausura Tournament playoffs, entering the G-8 after a 2-0 victory over Atlético Tucumán, with goals from Jhon Córdoba and Gastón Lodico. However, the team still shows some inconsistency, remaining undefeated for five matches but with only one win in that period, along with recent draws such as 0-0 away against San Martín de San Juan and 1-1 with Rosario Central, which led Alarcón to criticize the lack of regularity in the squad.
Visitor: No news provided for the visiting team.
Table analysis for the match between Sarmiento and Instituto AC Cordoba
Sarmiento: Sarmiento is in 9th place in Group B of the Argentine Professional League Clausura, with 16 points from 14 matches, including 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a negative goal difference of -5. They are outside the playoff zone, which is reserved for the top six teams, but relatively close to the 8th position, suggesting that a win could improve their standing and potentially put pressure on the teams immediately ahead. The team needs to gather points to stay in the playoff race, making this match important to maintain their chances of qualification.
Instituto AC Córdoba: Instituto is in a more delicate situation, occupying 12th place in Group B with 15 points from 14 games, with 3 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a negative goal difference of -7. They are outside the playoff zone and will need points to try to climb the table. A victory in this game would be very important for Instituto to get closer to rivals in the fight for qualification and avoid sinking further in the standings.
Summary: The match between Sarmiento and Instituto AC Córdoba is of HIGH importance for both teams, as it can directly impact their chances of advancing to the playoffs at the end of the Clausura. Although it is not a definitive decision for qualification at this moment, the three points will be highly valuable in the fight for the qualification zone, especially since there are 13 rounds remaining. ⚽🔥
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sarmiento x Instituto AC Cordoba
Is it a good idea to bet on Sarmiento?
🔵 Sarmiento: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $392.70;
- And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$397.30.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $676.50
- And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$86.50.
Is it worth betting on Instituto AC Cordoba?
🔴 Instituto AC Cordoba: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $684.00;
- And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$64.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sarmiento x Instituto AC Cordoba
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Sarmiento
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sarmiento x Instituto AC Cordoba
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Sarmiento, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Sarmiento.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Instituto AC Cordoba.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sarmiento x Instituto AC Cordoba
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
