Sarrabus Ogliastra x AC Savoia 1908 Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 1/12/2024 13:30 |
 Sarrabus Ogliastra4.20 |
X 3.40 |
AC Savoia 1908  1.73 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Sarrabus Ogliastra x AC Savoia 1908:
🔮 AC Savoia 1908 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AC Savoia 1908, you can win up to $865.00!
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The main points for the tip for Sarrabus Ogliastra x AC Savoia 1908: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sarrabus Ogliastra in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Sarrabus Ogliastra x AC Savoia 1908 for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December
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🏟️ Sarrabus Ogliastra X AC Savoia 1908 – Italy Serie D |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Sarrabus Ogliastra and AC Savoia 1908.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Sarrabus Ogliastra x AC Savoia 1908
Should you bet on Sarrabus Ogliastra?
🔵 Sarrabus Ogliastra: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $288.00;
- And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$622.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$116.00.
Should you bet on AC Savoia 1908?
🔴 AC Savoia 1908: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 64.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.73. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 650 times – profiting $474.50;
- And would lose other 350 times – losing -$350.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$124.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sarrabus Ogliastra x AC Savoia 1908
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Sarrabus Ogliastra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sarrabus Ogliastra x AC Savoia 1908
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Sarrabus Ogliastra and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Sarrabus Ogliastra.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Sarrabus Ogliastra.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sarrabus Ogliastra x AC Savoia 1908
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
