📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for SC Farense x Leixoes
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Analysis from SC Farense x Leixoes for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 17 of January
🏟️ SC Farense X Leixoes – Portugal Segunda Liga
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SC Farense x Leixoes right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288856 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for SC Farense x Leixoes
Should you bet on SC Farense?
🔵 SC Farense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $484.50
- And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$54.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.27. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $773.50;
- And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$113.50.
Is betting on Leixoes worth it?
🔴 Leixoes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.03. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 90 times – profiting $272.25;
- And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$637.75.
Handicaps analysis for the match SC Farense x Leixoes
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 SC Farense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Farense x Leixoes
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 SC Farense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 SC Farense.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Farense x Leixoes
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves