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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป SC Farense U23 x Estoril U23 Betting tips for September 30 in Portugal U23 League
Monday, 30 September 2024, 07h00 Portugal U23 League
SC Farense U23 SC Farense U23
PREDICTION Estoril U23 Wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Estoril U23 Estoril U23
ODD: @1.61 Don't miss this prediction!

SC Farense U23 x Estoril U23 Betting tips for September 30 in Portugal U23 League

Our betting tip for SC Farense U23 x Estoril U23, Monday, 30/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 30/9/2024
07:00
SC Farense U23 SC Farense U23
4.75
X
3.72
Estoril U23 Estoril U23
1.61

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for SC Farense U23 x Estoril U23:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Estoril U23 wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Estoril U23, you can win up to $805.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for SC Farense U23 x Estoril U23:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SC Farense U23 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $374.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Estoril U23 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, SC Farense U23 scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Estoril U23 scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 SC Farense U23 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, SC Farense U23 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Estoril U23 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, SC Farense U23 conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Estoril U23.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SC Farense U23 x Estoril U23?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from SC Farense U23 x Estoril U23 for the Portugal U23 League – 30 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ SC Farense U23 X Estoril U23 – Portugal U23 League
๐Ÿ“… 30 of September, 2024 – 07:00
๐Ÿ”ต SC Farense U23 – Winning probability: 6.41% | Fair line: 15.61
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.61% | Fair line: 5.68
๐Ÿ”ด Estoril U23 – Winning probability: 75.98% | Fair line: 1.32
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 SC Farense U23
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between SC Farense U23 and Estoril U23.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SC Farense U23 x Estoril U23

Is betting on SC Farense U23 worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต SC Farense U23: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $225.00
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$715.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $489.60
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$330.40.

Should you bet on Estoril U23?

๐Ÿ”ด Estoril U23: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 75.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.61. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $463.60
  • And would lose other 240 times – losing -$240.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$223.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SC Farense U23 x Estoril U23

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 SC Farense U23
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Farense U23 x Estoril U23

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 SC Farense U23 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 SC Farense U23.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Estoril U23.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Farense U23 x Estoril U23

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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