SC Grobinas x BFC Daugavpils Betting tips for March 11 in Latvia Virsliga

Our betting tip for SC Grobinas x BFC Daugavpils, Tuesday, 11/3/2025

📅 11/3/2025 16:00

SC Grobinas 2.87

X 3.40

BFC Daugavpils 2.18

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for SC Grobinas x BFC Daugavpils:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for SC Grobinas x BFC Daugavpils

Important information for your tip for SC Grobinas x BFC Daugavpils: 👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Grobinas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on BFC Daugavpils in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against BFC Daugavpils, SC Grobinas scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between SC Grobinas x BFC Daugavpils, with SC Grobinas as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, SC Grobinas conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from SC Grobinas x BFC Daugavpils for the Latvia Virsliga – 11 of March

When the best bet on SC Grobinas x BFC Daugavpils is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1279005 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SC Grobinas x BFC Daugavpils

Is it a good idea to bet on SC Grobinas?

🔵 SC Grobinas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $691.90
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$61.90.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $696.00
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$14.00.

Is it worth betting on BFC Daugavpils?

🔴 BFC Daugavpils: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $401.20;
• And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$258.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match SC Grobinas x BFC Daugavpils

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 SC Grobinas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Grobinas x BFC Daugavpils

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 SC Grobinas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 SC Grobinas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 BFC Daugavpils.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Grobinas x BFC Daugavpils

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.