SC Penedense x Guarany AL Betting tips for February 4 in Brazil Copa Alagoas
| 📅 4/2/2026 22:00 |
SC Penedense2.26 |
X 2.98 |
Guarany AL ![]() 3.00 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for SC Penedense x Guarany AL:
🔮 SC Penedense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SC Penedense, you can win up to $1130.00!
The main points for the tip for SC Penedense x Guarany AL:
👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Penedense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $20.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Guarany AL in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
👉 SC Penedense did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 8 SC Penedense matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 SC Penedense has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Guarany AL playing at home.
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SC Penedense x Guarany AL?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SC Penedense x Guarany AL, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from SC Penedense x Guarany AL for the Brazil Copa Alagoas – 4 of February
🏟️ SC Penedense X Guarany AL – Brazil Copa Alagoas
📅 4 of February, 2026 – 22:00
🔵 SC Penedense – Winning probability: 46.21% | Fair line: 2.16
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.49% | Fair line: 4.88
🔴 Guarany AL – Winning probability: 33.30% | Fair line: 3.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 SC Penedense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks
Odds and handicap movements for SC Penedense x Guarany AL
We will also look at how the odds and handicap have evolved over time. This approach helps capture the market sentiment for the fixture between SC Penedense x Guarany AL.
Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the principal markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 With a variation of 0.00%, the odds for SC Penedense are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.3 for SC Penedense and now the odds are @2.3.
📊 With a variation of 1.03%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @2.9 for Draw and now the odds are @2.93.
📊 With a variation of -1.29%, the odds for Guarany AL are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.11 for Guarany AL and now the odds are @3.07.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of -0.25 for SC Penedense is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 1.75 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the Match Odds market for SC Penedense x Guarany AL
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SC Penedense x Guarany AL right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1474414 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Should you bet on SC Penedense?
🔵 SC Penedense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 460 times – profiting $579.60;
- And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$39.60.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $396.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$404.00.
Is it worth betting on Guarany AL?
🔴 Guarany AL: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
- And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$10.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Handicaps analysis for the match SC Penedense x Guarany AL
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 SC Penedense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Penedense x Guarany AL
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 SC Penedense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 SC Penedense.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Penedense x Guarany AL
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for SC Penedense x Guarany AL
Who is the favourite for SC Penedense x Guarany AL?
From our analysis, the team that comes out as favourite is SC Penedense, with a win probability of 46.21%. Still, favourite does not guarantee a win!
Who will win: SC Penedense or Guarany AL?
It is important to remember that sports betting offers no guarantees. However, our analysis indicates that SC Penedense is more likely to win, with an estimated probability of 46.21%. Betting involves risk—bet responsibly!
What are the chances of SC Penedense beating Guarany AL today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that SC Penedense would take victory in roughly 46 of them versus Guarany AL.
What are the chances of Guarany AL beating SC Penedense today?
According to our analysis, out of every 100 games we expect Guarany AL to win approximately 33 of them against SC Penedense.
Which team should I bet on: SC Penedense or Guarany AL?
A good bettor always searches for positive expected value bets. Our analysis suggests: SC Penedense wins as the best pick, with EV of 6.48%. Bet responsibly and practice sound bankroll management: keep stakes under 2% of your capital!
How much is SC Penedense paying today? See what you can win by betting on SC Penedense x Guarany AL:
The average odds for SC Penedense to beat Guarany AL today are 2.26. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh2260.00 if SC Penedense wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.
How much is Guarany AL paying today? See what you can win by betting on SC Penedense x Guarany AL:
The odds for Guarany AL to beat SC Penedense today are around 3.00. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh3000.00 if Guarany AL wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!

SC Penedense