SC Regua x AD Machico Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for SC Regua x AD Machico, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 11:00

SC Regua 3.15

X 3.10

AD Machico 2.15

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for SC Regua x AD Machico:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for SC Regua x AD Machico

The main points for the tip for SC Regua x AD Machico: 👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Regua in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-160.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Machico in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $540.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, SC Regua scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, AD Machico conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from SC Regua x AD Machico for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 12 of January

When the best bet on SC Regua x AD Machico is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SC Regua x AD Machico

Should you bet on SC Regua?

🔵 SC Regua: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.68% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $666.50
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$23.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $567.00;
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$163.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on AD Machico?

🔴 AD Machico: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $483.00
• And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$97.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match SC Regua x AD Machico

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 SC Regua
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Regua x AD Machico

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 SC Regua and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 SC Regua.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 AD Machico.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Regua x AD Machico

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.