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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» SC Vianense x Braganca Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
SC Vianense SC Vianense
PREDICTION No tip
Braganca Braganca
Don't miss this prediction!

SC Vianense x Braganca Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for SC Vianense x Braganca, Sunday, 12/1/2025
πŸ“… 12/1/2025
15:00
SC Vianense SC Vianense
2.50
X
3.00
Braganca Braganca
2.58

Our algorithm has selected this tip for SC Vianense x Braganca:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for SC Vianense x Braganca

Important information for your tip for SC Vianense x Braganca:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SC Vianense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-136.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Braganca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 SC Vianense matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Braganca conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from SC Vianense x Braganca for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 12 of January

🏟️ SC Vianense X Braganca – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
πŸ“… 12 of January, 2025 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ SC Vianense – Winning probability: 31.53% | Fair line: 3.17
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.81% | Fair line: 3.05
πŸ”΄ Braganca – Winning probability: 35.65% | Fair line: 2.8
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 SC Vianense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between SC Vianense and Braganca.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SC Vianense x Braganca

Is it worth betting on SC Vianense?

πŸ”΅ SC Vianense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $480.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$200.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $660.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$10.00.

Should you bet on Braganca?

πŸ”΄ Braganca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $568.80;
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$71.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SC Vianense x Braganca

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 SC Vianense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Vianense x Braganca

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 SC Vianense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 SC Vianense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Braganca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Vianense x Braganca

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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