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Home Β» Predictions Β» SC Vianense x Pevidem SC Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
SC Vianense SC Vianense
PREDICTION No tip
Pevidem SC Pevidem SC
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SC Vianense x Pevidem SC Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for SC Vianense x Pevidem SC, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
11:00
SC Vianense SC Vianense
2.10
X
3.12
Pevidem SC Pevidem SC
3.14

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for SC Vianense x Pevidem SC:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for SC Vianense x Pevidem SC

The main points for the tip for SC Vianense x Pevidem SC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Pevidem SC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, SC Vianense scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Pevidem SC scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from SC Vianense x Pevidem SC for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 29 of September

🏟️ SC Vianense X Pevidem SC – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
πŸ”΅ SC Vianense – Winning probability: 42.29% | Fair line: 2.36
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.47% | Fair line: 3.08
πŸ”΄ Pevidem SC – Winning probability: 25.24% | Fair line: 3.96
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 SC Vianense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SC Vianense x Pevidem SC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SC Vianense x Pevidem SC

Is it worth betting on SC Vianense?

πŸ”΅ SC Vianense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $462.00
  • And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$118.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $678.40;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$1.60 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on Pevidem SC?

πŸ”΄ Pevidem SC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.14. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $535.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$215.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SC Vianense x Pevidem SC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 SC Vianense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Vianense x Pevidem SC

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 SC Vianense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 SC Vianense.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Vianense x Pevidem SC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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