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21/1/2022 18:30 |
 SC Viktoria Hamburg1.19 |
X 7.10 |
FC Union Tornesch  8.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for SC Viktoria Hamburg x FC Union Tornesch:
๐ฎ SC Viktoria Hamburg wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SC Viktoria Hamburg, you can win up to $594.00!
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for SC Viktoria Hamburg x FC Union Tornesch
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Analysis from SC Viktoria Hamburg x FC Union Tornesch for the Germany Oberliga Hamburg – 21 of January
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๐๏ธ SC Viktoria Hamburg X FC Union Tornesch – Germany Oberliga Hamburg |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between SC Viktoria Hamburg and FC Union Tornesch.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 290581 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for SC Viktoria Hamburg x FC Union Tornesch
Is it worth betting on SC Viktoria Hamburg?
๐ต SC Viktoria Hamburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 97.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.19. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 980 times – having a profit of $184.24;
- And would have lost other 20 times – with a loss of -$20.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$164.24.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $122.00
- And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$858.00.
Is betting on FC Union Tornesch worth it?
๐ด FC Union Tornesch: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 10 times – profiting $75.00;
- And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$915.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match SC Viktoria Hamburg x FC Union Tornesch
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 SC Viktoria Hamburg
โฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Viktoria Hamburg x FC Union Tornesch
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 SC Viktoria Hamburg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 SC Viktoria Hamburg.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 FC Union Tornesch.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Viktoria Hamburg x FC Union Tornesch
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 4.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 4.00 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
