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Home ยป Predictions ยป SC Vila Real x FC Tirsense Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
SC Vila Real SC Vila Real
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 36% 1 X 2
FC Tirsense FC Tirsense
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction!

SC Vila Real x FC Tirsense Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for SC Vila Real x FC Tirsense, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
11:00
SC Vila Real SC Vila Real
2.40
X
3.20
FC Tirsense FC Tirsense
2.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for SC Vila Real x FC Tirsense:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1600.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for SC Vila Real x FC Tirsense:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SC Vila Real in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $448.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Tirsense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between SC Vila Real x FC Tirsense, with SC Vila Real as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, FC Tirsense conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ SC Vila Real has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against FC Tirsense playing at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for FC Tirsense as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on SC Vila Real x FC Tirsense?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SC Vila Real x FC Tirsense, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from SC Vila Real x FC Tirsense for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ SC Vila Real X FC Tirsense – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
๐Ÿ”ต SC Vila Real – Winning probability: 29.91% | Fair line: 3.34
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.51% | Fair line: 2.74
๐Ÿ”ด FC Tirsense – Winning probability: 33.58% | Fair line: 2.98
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 SC Vila Real
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on SC Vila Real x FC Tirsense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SC Vila Real x FC Tirsense

Is it worth betting on SC Vila Real?

๐Ÿ”ต SC Vila Real: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $420.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$280.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $814.00;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$184.00.

Is it worth betting on FC Tirsense?

๐Ÿ”ด FC Tirsense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $544.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$116.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SC Vila Real x FC Tirsense

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 SC Vila Real
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Vila Real x FC Tirsense

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 SC Vila Real, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 SC Vila Real.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 SC Vila Real.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Vila Real x FC Tirsense

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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