SC Vila Real x GD Joane Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for SC Vila Real x GD Joane, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 15:00

SC Vila Real 2.02

X 3.15

GD Joane 3.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for SC Vila Real x GD Joane:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for SC Vila Real x GD Joane

Important information for your tip for SC Vila Real x GD Joane: 👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Vila Real in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-20.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on GD Joane in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $225.0. 👉 In the last 4 SC Vila Real matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 GD Joane matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, GD Joane conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on SC Vila Real x GD Joane?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SC Vila Real x GD Joane, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from SC Vila Real x GD Joane for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 12 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SC Vila Real x GD Joane right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SC Vila Real x GD Joane

Is it worth betting on SC Vila Real?

🔵 SC Vila Real: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 490 times – profiting $499.80;
• And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$10.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $580.50
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$149.50.

Should you bet on GD Joane?

🔴 GD Joane: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $529.00
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$241.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match SC Vila Real x GD Joane

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 SC Vila Real
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Vila Real x GD Joane

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 SC Vila Real, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 SC Vila Real.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 GD Joane.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Vila Real x GD Joane

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.