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Home » Predictions » SC Vila Real x Pevidem SC Betting tips for February 2 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
SC Vila Real SC Vila Real
PREDICTION No tip
Pevidem SC Pevidem SC
Don't miss this prediction!

SC Vila Real x Pevidem SC Betting tips for February 2 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for SC Vila Real x Pevidem SC, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
15:00
SC Vila Real SC Vila Real
2.15
X
3.10
Pevidem SC Pevidem SC
3.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for SC Vila Real x Pevidem SC:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for SC Vila Real x Pevidem SC

Important information for your tip for SC Vila Real x Pevidem SC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Vila Real in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $5.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Pevidem SC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 In the last 5 SC Vila Real matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Pevidem SC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from SC Vila Real x Pevidem SC for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 2 of February

🏟️ SC Vila Real X Pevidem SC – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 SC Vila Real – Winning probability: 44.54% | Fair line: 2.25
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.76% | Fair line: 3.25
🔴 Pevidem SC – Winning probability: 24.70% | Fair line: 4.05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 SC Vila Real
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on SC Vila Real x Pevidem SC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1255121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SC Vila Real x Pevidem SC

Should you bet on SC Vila Real?

🔵 SC Vila Real: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $517.50
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$32.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $651.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$39.00.

Should you bet on Pevidem SC?

🔴 Pevidem SC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $550.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$200.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SC Vila Real x Pevidem SC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 SC Vila Real
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Vila Real x Pevidem SC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 SC Vila Real, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 SC Vila Real.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Pevidem SC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Vila Real x Pevidem SC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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