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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» SC Villa x Maroons Betting tips for March 9 in Uganda Premier League
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 12h00 Uganda Premier League
SC Villa SC Villa
PREDICTION No tip
Maroons Maroons
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SC Villa x Maroons Betting tips for March 9 in Uganda Premier League

Our betting tip for SC Villa x Maroons, Sunday, 9/3/2025
πŸ“… 9/3/2025
12:00
SC Villa SC Villa
1.69
X
3.40
Maroons Maroons
4.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for SC Villa x Maroons:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for SC Villa x Maroons

Important information for your tip for SC Villa x Maroons:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SC Villa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $63.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, SC Villa scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Maroons, SC Villa scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 SC Villa matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ SC Villa has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Maroons playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from SC Villa x Maroons for the Uganda Premier League – 9 of March

🏟️ SC Villa X Maroons – Uganda Premier League
πŸ“… 9 of March, 2025 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ SC Villa – Winning probability: 61.39% | Fair line: 1.63
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.15% | Fair line: 3.82
πŸ”΄ Maroons – Winning probability: 12.46% | Fair line: 8.02
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 SC Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between SC Villa and Maroons.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1277138 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for SC Villa x Maroons

Is it a good idea to bet on SC Villa?

πŸ”΅ SC Villa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.69. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $420.90
  • And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$30.90, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $624.00;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$116.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Maroons?

πŸ”΄ Maroons: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $432.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$448.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SC Villa x Maroons

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 SC Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Villa x Maroons

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 SC Villa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 SC Villa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Maroons.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Villa x Maroons

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 1.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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