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Home » Predictions » Others » SC Villa x UPDF FC Betting tips for November 1 in Uganda Premier League
Friday, 01 November 2024, 13h00 Uganda Premier League
SC Villa SC Villa
PREDICTION SC Villa wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
UPDF FC UPDF FC
ODD: @1.58 Don't miss this prediction!

SC Villa x UPDF FC Betting tips for November 1 in Uganda Premier League

Our betting tip for SC Villa x UPDF FC, Friday, 1/11/2024
📅 1/11/2024
13:00
SC Villa SC Villa
1.58
X
3.51
UPDF FC UPDF FC
5.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for SC Villa x UPDF FC:

🔮 SC Villa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SC Villa, you can win up to $790.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for SC Villa x UPDF FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on SC Villa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-137.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, SC Villa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 UPDF FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 SC Villa matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, SC Villa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 SC Villa has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against UPDF FC playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from SC Villa x UPDF FC for the Uganda Premier League – 1 of November

🏟️ SC Villa X UPDF FC – Uganda Premier League
📅 1 of November, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 SC Villa – Winning probability: 70.82% | Fair line: 1.41
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.15% | Fair line: 4.73
🔴 UPDF FC – Winning probability: 8.03% | Fair line: 12.45
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 SC Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on SC Villa x UPDF FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1213551 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SC Villa x UPDF FC

Is it worth betting on SC Villa?

🔵 SC Villa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 70.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $411.80
  • And would lose other 290 times – having a loss of -$290.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$121.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $527.10;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$262.90.

Is it worth betting on UPDF FC?

🔴 UPDF FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $336.00
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$584.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SC Villa x UPDF FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 SC Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SC Villa x UPDF FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 SC Villa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 SC Villa. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SC Villa x UPDF FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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