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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» SCD Progresso Calcio x Tuttocuoio Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
SCD Progresso Calcio SCD Progresso Calcio
PREDICTION No tip
Tuttocuoio Tuttocuoio
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SCD Progresso Calcio x Tuttocuoio Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for SCD Progresso Calcio x Tuttocuoio, Sunday, 12/1/2025
πŸ“… 12/1/2025
13:30
SCD Progresso Calcio SCD Progresso Calcio
2.62
X
3.00
Tuttocuoio Tuttocuoio
2.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for SCD Progresso Calcio x Tuttocuoio:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for SCD Progresso Calcio x Tuttocuoio

Important information for your tip for SCD Progresso Calcio x Tuttocuoio:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on SCD Progresso Calcio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $140.0.
πŸ‘‰ SCD Progresso Calcio did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Tuttocuoio scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 SCD Progresso Calcio matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from SCD Progresso Calcio x Tuttocuoio for the Italy Serie D – 12 of January

🏟️ SCD Progresso Calcio X Tuttocuoio – Italy Serie D
πŸ“… 12 of January, 2025 – 13:30
πŸ”΅ SCD Progresso Calcio – Winning probability: 30.19% | Fair line: 3.31
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.48% | Fair line: 2.9
πŸ”΄ Tuttocuoio – Winning probability: 35.33% | Fair line: 2.83
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 SCD Progresso Calcio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SCD Progresso Calcio x Tuttocuoio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for SCD Progresso Calcio x Tuttocuoio

Is it worth betting on SCD Progresso Calcio?

πŸ”΅ SCD Progresso Calcio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $486.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$214.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $680.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$20.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on Tuttocuoio?

πŸ”΄ Tuttocuoio: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$125.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match SCD Progresso Calcio x Tuttocuoio

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 SCD Progresso Calcio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SCD Progresso Calcio x Tuttocuoio

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 SCD Progresso Calcio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 SCD Progresso Calcio.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Tuttocuoio.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SCD Progresso Calcio x Tuttocuoio

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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