📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Scunthorpe x Newport County
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Analysis from Scunthorpe x Newport County for the England League 2 – 22 of January
🏟️ Scunthorpe X Newport County – England League 2
When the best bet on Scunthorpe x Newport County is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290605 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Scunthorpe x Newport County
Is betting on Scunthorpe worth it?
🔵 Scunthorpe: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$430.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.46. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $417.35;
- And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$412.65.
Is it worth betting on Newport County?
🔴 Newport County: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 680 times – profiting $598.40;
- And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$278.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Scunthorpe x Newport County
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Scunthorpe
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Scunthorpe x Newport County
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Scunthorpe, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Scunthorpe.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Scunthorpe.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Scunthorpe x Newport County
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves