📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Scunthorpe x Southport
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Analysis from Scunthorpe x Southport for the England National League North – 21 of November
🏟️ Scunthorpe X Southport – England National League North
When the best bet on Scunthorpe x Southport is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024310 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Scunthorpe x Southport
Should you bet on Scunthorpe?
🔵 Scunthorpe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 77.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 780 times – profiting $312.00;
- And would have lost other 220 times – with a loss of -$220.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$92.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $566.10
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$263.90.
Is it a good idea to bet on Southport?
🔴 Southport: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $262.50
- And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$687.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Scunthorpe x Southport
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Scunthorpe
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Scunthorpe x Southport
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Scunthorpe and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Scunthorpe.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Scunthorpe.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Scunthorpe x Southport
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves