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19/1/2022 18:30 |
 SD Beasain1.44 |
X 3.75 |
Uritarra  5.67 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for SD Beasain x Uritarra:
๐ฎ SD Beasain wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SD Beasain, you can win up to $720.00!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for SD Beasain x Uritarra
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on SD Beasain x Uritarra?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on SD Beasain x Uritarra, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from SD Beasain x Uritarra for the Spain Tercera Group 4 – 19 of January
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๐๏ธ SD Beasain X Uritarra – Spain Tercera Group 4 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for SD Beasain x Uritarra right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 289909 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for SD Beasain x Uritarra
Is it a good idea to bet on SD Beasain?
๐ต SD Beasain: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 77.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 770 times – having a profit of $338.80;
- And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$108.80.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $440.00;
- And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$400.00.
Should you bet on Uritarra?
๐ด Uritarra: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $280.20
- And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$659.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match SD Beasain x Uritarra
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 SD Beasain
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for SD Beasain x Uritarra
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 SD Beasain and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 SD Beasain. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for SD Beasain x Uritarra
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
Follow our tips on YouTube too
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Get tips from our experts on your cellphone
Besides the tips automatically generated by our machine learning algorithm for SD Beasain x Uritarra that you have seen here, you can also receive the best tips analysed by our experts from Clube da Aposta on your cellphone, without paying a penny for it! All you have to do is click on the banner below to start receving the best bets for this Wednesday:
Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
